Magesi 0-1 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.78
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.75
No
64%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.85
6+ Goals
7%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+6.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
58%
Away Win
67%
-9.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
32%
+4.1pp
64%
BTTS No
68%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magesi EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 70%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.27/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.64
+150% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +34%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
215 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 514 · 86%
5.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
10.0 Crosses 19.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magesi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 12
19.10.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-3 Magesi Magesi GAFLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magesi
0-1
AWAY Orlando Pirates
1.13 xG 0.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
196 Passes 404
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Magesi vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates nicked a narrow win over Magesi 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Magesi had 38% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 62%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 1.13 to 0.83.

What was the final score of Magesi vs Orlando Pirates?

Magesi 0-1 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Premier League on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magesi vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Magesi 17%, draw 25%, Orlando Pirates 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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