Accra Lions 2-3 Hearts of Oak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
39%
2.83
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.51
No
68%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
39%
Draw
32%
+7.1pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.4pp
32%
BTTS Yes
36%
-4.1pp
68%
BTTS No
64%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accra Lions EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts of Oak EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.96/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.10
+6% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accra Lions
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Hearts of Oak
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.05.2024 Hearts of Oak Hearts of Oak 0-1 HT 0-0 Accra Lions GANA
21.11.2023 Accra Lions 1-2 HT 1-1 Hearts of Oak Hearts of Oak GANA
19.12.2021 Hearts of Oak Hearts of Oak 2-0 HT 0-0 Accra Lions GANA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accra Lions
2-3
AWAY Hearts of Oak
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Accra Lions vs Hearts of Oak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts of Oak nicked a narrow win over Accra Lions 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 39% / 25%) promised a tight game; Hearts of Oak found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Accra Lions had 62% of the ball to Hearts of Oak's 38%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hearts of Oak led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Accra Lions and 1.33 for Hearts of Oak.

What was the final score of Accra Lions vs Hearts of Oak?

Accra Lions 2-3 Hearts of Oak in the Gana - Premier League on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accra Lions vs Hearts of Oak?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Accra Lions 36%, draw 39%, Hearts of Oak 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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