BG Pathum United 0-2 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2024

BG Pathum United
0-2 HT 0-0
Buriram United
📅29/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

BG Pathum United vs Buriram United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BG Pathum United v Buriram United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 48%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.07/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.19
-25% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +12%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
214 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 82%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
23.1 Crosses 13.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

BG Pathum United vs Buriram United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BG Pathum United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Buriram United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.84 xG 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
326 Passes 289
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.04.2024 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 1-1 HT 0-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
29.10.2023 Buriram United Buriram United 0-0 HT 0-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
04.02.2023 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 0-2 HT 0-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
04.09.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 2-2 HT 0-2 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
20.03.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 0-1 HT 0-1 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
06.11.2021 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 1-0 HT 1-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY

BG Pathum United 0-2 Buriram United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BG Pathum United
0-2
AWAY Buriram United
0.47 xG 1.64
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
392 Passes 201
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH BG Pathum United vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United saw off BG Pathum United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Buriram United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, BG Pathum United had 61% of the ball to Buriram United's 39%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.47 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for BG Pathum United and 0.83 for Buriram United.

What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Buriram United?

BG Pathum United 0-2 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 36%, draw 24%, Buriram United 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ BTTS Yes
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