Adana Demirspor 1-5 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2025

📅29/12/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
37.0
Draw
14%
8.11
Away
74%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
52%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
4W-1D-1L
AWAY İstanbulspor
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.05 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
392 Passes 432
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-2 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
30.05.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
05.01.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 6-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
13.03.2021 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
30.12.2020 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
18.07.2020 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-0 HT 2-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
1-5
AWAY İstanbulspor
0.51 xG 4.21
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 8
191 Passes 355
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
4 Box Touches 52
6 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor swept aside Adana Demirspor 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İstanbulspor as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 38% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 62%, shots finished 8-28, expected goals 0.51 to 4.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Adana Demirspor and 0.83 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs İstanbulspor?

Adana Demirspor 1-5 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 12%, draw 14%, İstanbulspor 74%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İstanbulspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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