Adana Demirspor 2-2 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 10 Jan 2024

Adana Demirspor
2-2 HT 1-0
İstanbulspor
📅10/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Adana Demirspor vs İstanbulspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.83
2-3 Goals
41%
2.05
4-5 Goals
24%
2.61
6+ Goals
11%
6.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.79
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.2
X/1
12%
3.93
X/2 EV+ ✗
10%
12.3
X/X
10%
7.18
2/1
6%
19.15
2/2
12%
8.31
2/X
7%
16.4
Value flag · X/2 at 12.3 — our 10% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adana Demirspor v İstanbulspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
2.45/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.42
+57% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
17.8 Crosses 14.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Adana Demirspor vs İstanbulspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
5W-0D-1L
AWAY İstanbulspor
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.15 xG 0.89
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
366 Passes 452
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.05.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
05.01.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 6-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
13.03.2021 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
30.12.2020 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
18.07.2020 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-0 HT 2-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
29.12.2019 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-2 HT 0-2 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L

Adana Demirspor 2-2 İstanbulspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
2-2
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.36 xG 1.04
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
419 Passes 264
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adana Demirspor and İstanbulspor shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Adana Demirspor at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 60% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 40%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.36 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Adana Demirspor and 0.50 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs İstanbulspor?

Adana Demirspor 2-2 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - Super League on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adana Demirspor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 52%, draw 22%, İstanbulspor 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adana Demirspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adana Demirspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
10 Jan 2024
17:00 Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor Analysis →
17:00 Hatayspor vs Gaziantep FK Analysis →
20:00 Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor Analysis →