Hatayspor 0-0 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.01
6+ Goals
11%
18.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.01 — our 24% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
15%
4.57
X/2
11%
6.62
X/X
12%
4.3
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
13%
5.01
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.65/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.56
+16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.1 Crosses 16.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.27 xG 1.14
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
382 Passes 258
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 4-1 HT 1-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
20.08.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
07.03.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-2 HT 1-2 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
18.10.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
15.05.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
24.01.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
0-0
AWAY Gaziantep FK
0.50 xG 0.16
72% Ball Possession 28%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
594 Passes 184
91% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor and Gaziantep FK played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Hatayspor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hatayspor had 72% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 28%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.50 to 0.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gaziantep FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hatayspor and 1.83 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Hatayspor 0-0 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 44%, draw 26%, Gaziantep FK 29%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hatayspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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