Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fatih Karagümrük v Kayserispor — Team-Based Signals
Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Kayserispor
TSL
2-4
HT 0-2
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
3-0
HT 2-0
Kayserispor
TSL
2-1
HT 0-1
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
3-0
HT 1-0
Kayserispor
TSL
0-0
HT 0-0
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
Fatih Karagümrük 4-1 Kayserispor — Actual Match Statistics
Fatih Karagümrük ran out comfortable winners over Kayserispor 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fatih Karagümrük as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 40% of the ball to Kayserispor's 60%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.27 to 1.81 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kayserispor.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 0.67 for Kayserispor.
What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor?
Fatih Karagümrük 4-1 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 48%, draw 27%, Kayserispor 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.