Wealdstone 3-3 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 30 Jan 2024

Wealdstone
3-3 HT 2-2
Aldershot Town
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Wealdstone vs Aldershot Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.81
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
13%
4.86
X/2
11%
6.84
X/X
11%
5.28
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.0
2/2
15%
4.53
2/X
9%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wealdstone v Aldershot Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 33%
+13% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.74/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.63
+13% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Wealdstone vs Aldershot Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
57% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
18.04.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
01.10.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
15.05.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
18.09.2021 Wealdstone Wealdstone 2-2 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
24.04.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL

Wealdstone 3-3 Aldershot Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
3-3
AWAY Aldershot Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 25
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone and Aldershot Town shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Wealdstone at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wealdstone had 47% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 53%, shots finished 19-25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aldershot Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wealdstone and 1.67 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Aldershot Town?

Wealdstone 3-3 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wealdstone win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 41%, draw 27%, Aldershot Town 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wealdstone) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wealdstone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
30 Jan 2024
22:45 Solihull Moors vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →