Crystal Palace 3-2 Sheffield United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 30 Jan 2024

Crystal Palace
3-2 HT 2-2
Sheffield United
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Crystal Palace vs Sheffield United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.06
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.75
X/1
22%
3.71
X/2
8%
10.55
X/X
9%
4.83
2/1
9%
25.0
2/2
8%
8.78
2/X
6%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-1.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.1pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crystal Palace v Sheffield United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -26%
1.78/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.83
-22% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
426 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.3 Crosses 15.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Crystal Palace vs Sheffield United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sheffield United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.11 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
381 Passes 284
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 0-1 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
08.05.2021 Sheffield United Sheffield United 0-2 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
02.01.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-0 HT 2-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
01.02.2020 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
18.08.2019 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
19.02.2011 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL

Crystal Palace 3-2 Sheffield United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
3-2
AWAY Sheffield United
1.15 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
392 Passes 320
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Sheffield United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace squeezed past Sheffield United 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Crystal Palace as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 54% of the ball to Sheffield United's 46%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.15 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Crystal Palace and 0.33 for Sheffield United.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Sheffield United?

Crystal Palace 3-2 Sheffield United in the England - Premier League on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Sheffield United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 57%, draw 21%, Sheffield United 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
30 Jan 2024
22:30 Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Analysis →
22:45 Fulham vs Everton Analysis →
22:45 Luton Town vs Brighton & Hove Albion Analysis →
23:15 Aston Villa vs Newcastle United Analysis →