Young Boys 5-1 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.66
6+ Goals
16%
6.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.66
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
18.0
X/1
18%
3.72
X/2
4%
14.4
X/X
8%
7.37
2/1
6%
19.95
2/2
7%
10.25
2/X
7%
18.2
Value flag · 1/X at 18.0 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.2pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.2pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.15/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.64
+36% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
27.0 Crosses 12.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Yverdon
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.43 xG 1.09
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
409 Passes 214
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
30.07.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 2-2 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
14.05.2006 Yverdon Yverdon 1-3 HT 1-2 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
12.02.2006 Young Boys Young Boys 2-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
02.10.2005 Young Boys Young Boys 2-2 HT 1-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
20.07.2005 Yverdon Yverdon 0-3 HT 0-3 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
5-1
AWAY Yverdon
2.66 xG 1.53
58% Ball Possession 42%
28 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
379 Passes 248
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs Yverdon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys ran out comfortable winners over Yverdon 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Young Boys as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Young Boys had 58% of the ball to Yverdon's 42%, shots finished 28-10, expected goals 2.66 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Young Boys had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Young Boys and 1.20 for Yverdon.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs Yverdon?

Young Boys 5-1 Yverdon in the Switzerland - Super League on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs Yverdon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 58%, draw 26%, Yverdon 16%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Young Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Young Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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