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Ajax (K) vs Roma (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax (K) v Roma (K) — Team-Based Signals
Ajax (K) vs Roma (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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3-0
HT 2-0
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Ajax (K)
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Ajax (K) 2-1 Roma (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax (K) squeezed past Roma (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ajax (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Ajax (K) had 58% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 42%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.25 to 0.94 — on chances, Roma (K) could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs Roma (K)?
Ajax (K) 2-1 Roma (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs Roma (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 41%, draw 22%, Roma (K) 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.