Bayern München (K) 2-2 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 30 Jan 2024

Bayern München (K)
2-2 HT 1-0
PSG (K)
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Champions League - Women's – 2023/2024

Bayern München (K) vs PSG (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
2.03
Over
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
36%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
45%
-10.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern München (K) v PSG (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
0.85/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.13
+55% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
11.0 Crosses 20.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Bayern München (K) vs PSG (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München (K)
2W-1D-2L
AWAY PSG (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.35 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
360 Passes 327
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.11.2023 PSG (K) PSG (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ŞMP-K
30.03.2022 PSG (K) PSG (K) 2-2 HT 1-1 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ŞMP-K
22.03.2022 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 PSG (K) PSG (K) ŞMP-K
29.03.2017 PSG (K) PSG (K) 4-0 HT 3-0 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ŞMP-K
23.03.2017 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 PSG (K) PSG (K) ŞMP-K

Bayern München (K) 2-2 PSG (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
2-2
AWAY PSG (K)
1.16 xG 1.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
288 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) and PSG (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 47% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 53%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.16 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bayern München (K) and 1.60 for PSG (K).

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs PSG (K)?

Bayern München (K) 2-2 PSG (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 34%, draw 30%, PSG (K) 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSG (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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