Sabah 1-7 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 30 Jan 2024

Sabah
1-7 HT 0-3
Karabağ
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Cup – 2025/2026

Sabah vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.6pp
52%
Away Win
61%
-9.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sabah v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +120%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Sabah vs Karabağ Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Karabağ
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Sabah Sabah 1-2 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
17.09.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 2-0 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
16.04.2023 Sabah Sabah 2-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
11.02.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 1-1 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
13.11.2022 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
11.09.2022 Karabağ Karabağ 4-3 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ ran out comfortable winners over Sabah 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sabah and 1.67 for Karabağ.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Karabağ?

Sabah 1-7 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sabah 20%, draw 29%, Karabağ 52%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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