Sebail FK 1-2 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 30 Jan 2024

Sebail FK
1-2 HT 0-0
Zira
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Cup – 2023/2024

Sebail FK vs Zira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sebail FK v Zira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
4.65/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.41
+150% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +111%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Sebail FK vs Zira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Zira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.01.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
28.10.2023 Zira Zira 2-2 HT 1-2 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
19.08.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-2 HT 1-1 Zira Zira AZERS
14.04.2023 Zira Zira 3-1 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
12.02.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
12.11.2022 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira nicked a narrow win over Sebail FK 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sebail FK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sebail FK and 1.33 for Zira.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Zira?

Sebail FK 1-2 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sebail FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 43%, draw 25%, Zira 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sebail FK) ✗ Under 2.5
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