Kolombiya U23 0-1 Venezuela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolombiya U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezuela U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
255 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolombiya U23
0-1
AWAY Venezuela U23
0.51 xG 0.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 Passes 192
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
9 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kolombiya U23 vs Venezuela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezuela U23 squeezed past Kolombiya U23 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Venezuela U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kolombiya U23 had 60% of the ball to Venezuela U23's 40%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.51 to 0.58.

What was the final score of Kolombiya U23 vs Venezuela U23?

Kolombiya U23 0-1 Venezuela U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolombiya U23 vs Venezuela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolombiya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kolombiya U23 38%, draw 30%, Venezuela U23 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kolombiya U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kolombiya U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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