Uruguay U23 3-0 Peru U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uruguay U23 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Peru U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
Crosses 9.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uruguay U23
3-0
AWAY Peru U23
2.35 xG 0.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
337 Passes 218
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Uruguay U23 vs Peru U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uruguay U23 cruised past Peru U23 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Uruguay U23 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Uruguay U23 had 57% of the ball to Peru U23's 43%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 2.35 to 0.18.

What was the final score of Uruguay U23 vs Peru U23?

Uruguay U23 3-0 Peru U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uruguay U23 vs Peru U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uruguay U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Uruguay U23 55%, draw 22%, Peru U23 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uruguay U23), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uruguay U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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