Guadalajara U23 1-1 Toluca U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalajara U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Toluca U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Guadalajara U23 vs Toluca U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadalajara U23 and Toluca U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Guadalajara U23 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Guadalajara U23 vs Toluca U23?

Guadalajara U23 1-1 Toluca U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalajara U23 vs Toluca U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara U23 48%, draw 26%, Toluca U23 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guadalajara U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guadalajara U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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