30/01/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Mazatlan U23 vs Club Leon U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
80%
23%
Draw
11%
21%
Away Win
8%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mazatlan U23 v Club Leon U23 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mazatlan U23
EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
Club Leon U23
EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
313 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
391 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Mazatlan U23 vs Club Leon U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mazatlan U23 nicked a narrow win over Club Leon U23 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mazatlan U23 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Mazatlan U23 vs Club Leon U23?
Mazatlan U23 1-0 Club Leon U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mazatlan U23 vs Club Leon U23?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan U23 56%, draw 23%, Club Leon U23 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mazatlan U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Mazatlan U23)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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MEK2
More Mexico - Primera A
30 Jan 2024