Cerro Porteno 0-3 2 de Mayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒02:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.27
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-13.8pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.9pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.3pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY 2 de Mayo EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
2.09/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
0-3
AWAY 2 de Mayo
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

2 de Mayo ran out comfortable winners over Cerro Porteno 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cerro Porteno at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 55% of the ball to 2 de Mayo's 45%, shots finished 9-4.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo?

Cerro Porteno 0-3 2 de Mayo in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 61%, draw 24%, 2 de Mayo 15%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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