Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
53%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 60%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.21/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.89
+32% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Libertad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PARK
03.11.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
20.08.2023 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
13.05.2023 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
06.03.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
1-2
AWAY Libertad
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad squeezed past Sportivo Trinidense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 38% of the ball to Libertad's 62%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 1.20 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad?

Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 21%, draw 27%, Libertad 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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