Niki Volos 2-2 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.48
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.81
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.1
6+ Goals
7%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+1.7pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.3pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-10.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niki Volos EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 59%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-47% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
196 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niki Volos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
1 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 12
0 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
24.01.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 0-0 Niki Volos Niki Volos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niki Volos
2-2
AWAY Aris Saloniki
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Niki Volos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niki Volos and Aris Saloniki shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aris Saloniki at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Niki Volos had 43% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 57%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Niki Volos vs Aris Saloniki?

Niki Volos 2-2 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Cup on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niki Volos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Niki Volos 21%, draw 33%, Aris Saloniki 45%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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