Al Bataeh 1-3 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
59%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.25
2-3 Goals
41%
2.09
4-5 Goals
24%
2.39
6+ Goals
15%
4.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+6.8pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
59%
Away Win
67%
-8.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Bataeh EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 71%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
0.76/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.69
+19% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
11.3 Crosses 17.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Bataeh
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.44 xG 2.28
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
232 Passes 361
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
14.03.2024 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
24.09.2023 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
08.04.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
04.11.2022 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 0-6 HT 0-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Bataeh
1-3
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
1.13 xG 2.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
157 Passes 210
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Bataeh vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai got the better of Al Bataeh 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Bataeh had 46% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 54%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.13 to 2.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Al Bataeh and 3.00 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

What was the final score of Al Bataeh vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Al Bataeh 1-3 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Bataeh vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Bataeh 21%, draw 20%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 59%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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