Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 Al Bataeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.77
2-3 Goals
42%
2.16
4-5 Goals
27%
2.49
6+ Goals
13%
5.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.1pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Bataeh EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.12/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.10
+16% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
19.5 Crosses 12.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Bataeh
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.39 xG 0.19
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
355 Passes 254
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
08.04.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
04.11.2022 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 0-6 HT 0-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
2-1
AWAY Al Bataeh
2.17 xG 0.57
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
424 Passes 221
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
45 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Bataeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai squeezed past Al Bataeh 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahli FC Dubai had 63% of the ball to Al Bataeh's 37%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 2.17 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ahli FC Dubai's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Al Ahli FC Dubai and 0.00 for Al Bataeh.

What was the final score of Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Bataeh?

Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 Al Bataeh in the UAE - League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Bataeh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli FC Dubai 58%, draw 18%, Al Bataeh 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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