Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-2 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.96
Over 2.5
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.38
No
47%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.05
2-3 Goals
41%
2.2
4-5 Goals
23%
2.46
6+ Goals
14%
4.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.1pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 29%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.61/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.04
+26% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
17.1 Crosses 18.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.52 xG 1.14
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
550 Passes 237
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
11.05.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
22.01.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
15.03.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
03.01.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
16.12.2021 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 3-3 HT 2-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
2-2
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.75 xG 1.23
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 7
527 Passes 186
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 30
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and Al Ittihad Kalba couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Jazira Abu Dhabi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had 69% of the ball to Al Ittihad Kalba's 31%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.75 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and 1.33 for Al Ittihad Kalba.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-2 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 42%, draw 23%, Al Ittihad Kalba 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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