Al Sharjah 2-2 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
1.48/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.85
+17% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
15.3 Crosses 15.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sharjah
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Nasr
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.39 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 Passes 301
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
11.05.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
22.01.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
03.04.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
22.10.2021 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
07.03.2021 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
POST-MATCH Al Sharjah vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sharjah and Al Nasr shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Sharjah at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasr led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Sharjah and 1.17 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Sharjah vs Al Nasr?

Al Sharjah 2-2 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sharjah vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Sharjah 42%, draw 25%, Al Nasr 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Sharjah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sharjah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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