Mebrat Hayl 1-1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.82
Draw
46%
2.88
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
19%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
51%
-14.1pp
46%
Draw
31%
+14.3pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
333 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mebrat Hayl
1-1
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mebrat Hayl vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mebrat Hayl and Welwalo Adigrat Uni couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had the draw as the likeliest outcome at 46%, and the draw held. On goals, under 2.5 goals (74%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Mebrat Hayl had 47% of the ball to Welwalo Adigrat Uni's 53%, shots finished 4-3.

What was the final score of Mebrat Hayl vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Mebrat Hayl 1-1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mebrat Hayl vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mebrat Hayl 37%, draw 46%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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