Awassa Kenema 1-0 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.0pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 56%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.68/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.22
-15% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Awassa Kenema
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Mekelakeya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 2-3 HT 1-1 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
10.01.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 2-1 HT 1-0 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
1-0
AWAY Mekelakeya
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema nicked a narrow win over Mekelakeya 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mekelakeya at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 45% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 55%, shots finished 4-2.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mekelakeya led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Awassa Kenema and 2.50 for Mekelakeya.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Mekelakeya?

Awassa Kenema 1-0 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 25%, draw 27%, Mekelakeya 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mekelakeya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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