Chennaiyin FC 1-3 Kerala Blasters — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 30 Jan 2025

Chennaiyin FC
1-3 HT 0-2
Kerala Blasters
📅30/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

Chennaiyin FC vs Kerala Blasters Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.0
6+ Goals
8%
9.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 26% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
38%
-8.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
35%
+8.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chennaiyin FC v Kerala Blasters — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.47/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.12
-18% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.2 Crosses 21.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Chennaiyin FC vs Kerala Blasters Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chennaiyin FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.15 xG 1.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
259 Passes 316
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-0 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
16.02.2024 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
29.11.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-3 HT 2-3 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
07.02.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-1 HT 1-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
19.12.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
26.02.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-0 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL

Chennaiyin FC 1-3 Kerala Blasters — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chennaiyin FC
1-3
AWAY Kerala Blasters
0.74 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
317 Passes 362
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chennaiyin FC vs Kerala Blasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerala Blasters got the better of Chennaiyin FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kerala Blasters as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chennaiyin FC had 48% of the ball to Kerala Blasters's 52%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.74 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kerala Blasters led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chennaiyin FC and 2.00 for Kerala Blasters.

What was the final score of Chennaiyin FC vs Kerala Blasters?

Chennaiyin FC 1-3 Kerala Blasters in the India - Super League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chennaiyin FC vs Kerala Blasters?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kerala Blasters win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chennaiyin FC 30%, draw 28%, Kerala Blasters 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kerala Blasters), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kerala Blasters) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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