Al Arabi 1-3 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.77
2-3 Goals
37%
2.28
4-5 Goals
29%
2.28
6+ Goals
15%
3.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
20%
+8.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.6pp
49%
Away Win
61%
-11.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.8pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 66%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.71/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.36
+40% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -39%
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 84%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
12.9 Crosses 13.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Sadd
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.44 xG 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
358 Passes 419
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2024 Al Sadd Al Sadd 5-0 HT 3-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
10.03.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
17.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
08.05.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
23.01.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
22.01.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-2 HT 2-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd got the better of Al Arabi 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Arabi and 2.33 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Sadd?

Al Arabi 1-3 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 29%, draw 22%, Al Sadd 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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