Ascoli 3-1 Livorno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Jan 2026

Ascoli
3 - 1 HT 3 - 1
Livorno
📅30/01/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Ascoli vs Livorno Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.6
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
14%
5.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
60%
1.61
Over
40%
2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.34
2-3
48%
1.75
4-5
16%
4.73
6+
3%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
2%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Ascoli v Livorno — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ascoli The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Livorno The Market 19%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.78 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.79
0.67 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.72
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

Ascoli vs Livorno Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Livorno
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.92 xG 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
322 Passes 294
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.09.2025 Livorno Livorno 0-3 HT 0-3 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
01.02.2020 Livorno Livorno 0-3 HT 0-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
14.09.2019 Ascoli Ascoli 2-0 HT 1-0 Livorno Livorno İTB
10.03.2019 Ascoli Ascoli 1-1 HT 1-1 Livorno Livorno İTB
27.10.2018 Livorno Livorno 1-0 HT 1-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
14.05.2016 Ascoli Ascoli 1-3 HT 0-0 Livorno Livorno İTB

Ascoli 3-1 Livorno — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
3 - 1
AWAY Livorno
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
REVIEW Ascoli vs Livorno
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ascoli beat Livorno 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ascoli as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Ascoli had 49% of the ball to Livorno's 51%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ascoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ascoli and 0.83 for Livorno.

Ascoli vs Livorno Result & Final Score

Ascoli 3 - 1 Livorno in the Italy - Serie C on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ascoli vs Livorno Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 61%, draw 25%, Livorno 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ascoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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