Livorno 0-3 Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Sep 2025

Livorno
0-3 HT 0-3
Ascoli
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Livorno vs Ascoli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.69
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.2pp
49%
Away Win
46%
+3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livorno v Ascoli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livorno EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli EU Bookmakers 50%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.65/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.57
-39% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +78%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5

Livorno vs Ascoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livorno
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ascoli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 1.92
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
294 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.02.2020 Livorno Livorno 0-3 HT 0-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
14.09.2019 Ascoli Ascoli 2-0 HT 1-0 Livorno Livorno İTB
10.03.2019 Ascoli Ascoli 1-1 HT 1-1 Livorno Livorno İTB
27.10.2018 Livorno Livorno 1-0 HT 1-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
14.05.2016 Ascoli Ascoli 1-3 HT 0-0 Livorno Livorno İTB
23.12.2015 Livorno Livorno 1-3 HT 0-2 Ascoli Ascoli İTB

Livorno 0-3 Ascoli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livorno
0-3
AWAY Ascoli
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Livorno vs Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli cruised past Livorno 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ascoli as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Livorno had 37% of the ball to Ascoli's 63%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ascoli led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Livorno and 1.67 for Ascoli.

What was the final score of Livorno vs Ascoli?

Livorno 0-3 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie C on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livorno vs Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Livorno 28%, draw 23%, Ascoli 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ascoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
20 Sep 2025
16:00 Pineto vs Juventus II Analysis →
16:00 Sambenedettese vs Athletic Carpi Analysis →
16:00 Sassari Torres vs Ternana Analysis →
16:00 Vis Pesaro vs Pianese Analysis →
16:00 Gubbio vs Bra Analysis →
18:30 Crotone vs Siracusa Analysis →