Gubbio 1-0 Bra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Sep 2025

Gubbio
1-0 HT 0-0
Bra
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.47
2-3 Goals
45%
1.69
4-5 Goals
16%
4.19
6+ Goals
7%
21.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.47 — our 32% vs market 32.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bra EU Bookmakers 20%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.51/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.01
-13% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
1-0
AWAY Bra
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Bra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio nicked a narrow win over Bra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gubbio as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gubbio had 51% of the ball to Bra's 49%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Bra?

Gubbio 1-0 Bra in the Italy - Serie C on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Bra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 52%, draw 27%, Bra 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gubbio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gubbio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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