Crotone 2-0 Siracusa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.62
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
8%
9.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 34% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
67%
-3.0pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.6pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Siracusa EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.90/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.01
+10% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
417 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
2-0
AWAY Siracusa
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Siracusa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone got the better of Siracusa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Crotone had 51% of the ball to Siracusa's 49%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Siracusa?

Crotone 2-0 Siracusa in the Italy - Serie C on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Siracusa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Crotone 64%, draw 19%, Siracusa 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
20 Sep 2025
16:00 Pineto vs Juventus II Analysis →
16:00 Sambenedettese vs Athletic Carpi Analysis →
16:00 Livorno vs Ascoli Analysis →
16:00 Sassari Torres vs Ternana Analysis →
16:00 Vis Pesaro vs Pianese Analysis →
16:00 Gubbio vs Bra Analysis →