Sambenedettese 0-1 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.82
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sambenedettese EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.15/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.95
-6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sambenedettese
0-1
AWAY Athletic Carpi
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sambenedettese vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi nicked a narrow win over Sambenedettese 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sambenedettese at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sambenedettese had 43% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 57%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Sambenedettese vs Athletic Carpi?

Sambenedettese 0-1 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sambenedettese vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sambenedettese win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sambenedettese 41%, draw 28%, Athletic Carpi 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sambenedettese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sambenedettese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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