Pineto 2-3 Juventus II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.51
2-3 Goals
45%
1.69
4-5 Goals
16%
4.11
6+ Goals
7%
20.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.51 — our 32% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus II EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +23%
0.92/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.13
-30% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Juventus II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-2 HT 1-1 Juventus II Juventus II İTC
09.12.2023 Juventus II Juventus II 2-2 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
2-3
AWAY Juventus II
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Juventus II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus II edged past Pineto 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Pineto at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pineto had 49% of the ball to Juventus II's 51%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Juventus II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pineto and 2.00 for Juventus II.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Juventus II?

Pineto 2-3 Juventus II in the Italy - Serie C on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Juventus II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pineto win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pineto 42%, draw 31%, Juventus II 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pineto), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pineto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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