Lanus 2-1 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 30 Jan 2026

Lanus
2-1 HT 1-0
Union Santa Fe
📅30/01/2026 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2026

Lanus vs Union Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.41
Over 2.5
39%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.42
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.98
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
13%
4.44
X/2
11%
7.77
X/X
19%
3.32
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
8%
7.03
2/X
7%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.3pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
67%
-5.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
33%
+5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.4pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lanus v Union Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.46/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.29
+1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
19.6 Crosses 19.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Lanus vs Union Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
350 Passes 255
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Lanus Lanus 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
28.03.2024 Lanus Lanus 2-2 HT 1-2 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
05.11.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
17.06.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
03.07.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 3-0 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
31.07.2021 Lanus Lanus 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ

Lanus 2-1 Union Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
2-1
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.85 xG 1.04
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
435 Passes 254
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lanus vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus nicked a narrow win over Union Santa Fe 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lanus as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lanus had 60% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 40%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.85 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Santa Fe led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lanus and 1.33 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Lanus vs Union Santa Fe?

Lanus 2-1 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lanus 43%, draw 31%, Union Santa Fe 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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