Al Hilal Omdurman 2-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 30 Jan 2026

Al Hilal Omdurman
2-1 HT 1-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
📅30/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
CAF Champions League – 2025/2026

Al Hilal Omdurman vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.16
6+ Goals
6%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.76
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
7%
5.84
X/2
10%
4.89
X/X
20%
3.85
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.64
2/X
4%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Hilal Omdurman v Mamelodi Sundowns — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Omdurman EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+36% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
193 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.1 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Al Hilal Omdurman vs Mamelodi Sundowns Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Omdurman
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
206 Passes 432
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.01.2026 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman CAFŞL
18.03.2023 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 1-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns AŞL
11.02.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman AŞL
19.03.2022 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 2-4 HT 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns AŞL
11.02.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman AŞL
02.04.2021 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 0-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns AŞL

Al Hilal Omdurman 2-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Omdurman
2-1
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.60 xG 1.29
29% Ball Possession 71%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
110 Passes 373
64% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Omdurman vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Omdurman edged past Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Al Hilal Omdurman made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Hilal Omdurman had 29% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 71%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.60 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Hilal Omdurman and 1.50 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Omdurman vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Al Hilal Omdurman 2-1 Mamelodi Sundowns in the CAF Champions League on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Omdurman vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Omdurman win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Omdurman 34%, draw 32%, Mamelodi Sundowns 34%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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