Chongqing Tongliang Long 4-0 Jiangxi Beidamen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.03
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
55%
-10.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+11.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen EU Bookmakers 21%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
0.89/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.15
-33% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 75%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
31.0 Crosses 13.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Jiangxi Beidamen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long swept aside Jiangxi Beidamen 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 4-0 Jiangxi Beidamen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 44%, draw 26%, Jiangxi Beidamen 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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