Guangzhou Evergrande 0-5 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.66
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 36% vs market 33.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.4pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 51%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+5% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.8 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande
0-5
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
1.41 xG 1.69
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 10
9 Corners 4
418 Passes 184
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guangzhou Evergrande vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun cruised past Guangzhou Evergrande 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Guangzhou Evergrande had 66% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 34%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.41 to 1.69.

What was the final score of Guangzhou Evergrande vs Yunnan Yukun?

Guangzhou Evergrande 0-5 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangzhou Evergrande vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guangzhou Evergrande 31%, draw 26%, Yunnan Yukun 43%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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