Stranraer 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
47%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.99
6+ Goals
8%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.07/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.66
-26% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +101%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
03.02.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
16.12.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
19.08.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
01.04.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
11.02.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 0-1 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
23.12.2022 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 3-2 HT 2-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Stranraer at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stranraer and 1.17 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Stranraer 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stranraer win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 43%, draw 27%, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stranraer), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stranraer) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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