Dumbarton 0-0 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
2.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 28% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +24%
1.16/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.07
-13% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
03.02.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
09.12.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
26.08.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-4 HT 0-4 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
01.04.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-2 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
28.02.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
04.02.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-1 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton and Stenhousemuir played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dumbarton and 1.17 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Stenhousemuir?

Dumbarton 0-0 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 37%, draw 30%, Stenhousemuir 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dumbarton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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