Bamber Bridge 1-3 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bamber Bridge EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.78/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.39
+13% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bamber Bridge
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 HT 0-0 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
25.04.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 1-1 HT 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
11.02.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 1-1 HT 0-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
22.10.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-2 HT 0-2 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
18.12.2021 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 HT 0-0 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
21.08.2021 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 5-1 HT 3-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bamber Bridge
1-3
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bamber Bridge vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity beat Bamber Bridge 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Gainsborough Trinity made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bamber Bridge had 63% of the ball to Gainsborough Trinity's 37%, shots finished 21-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bamber Bridge had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bamber Bridge and 1.17 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Bamber Bridge vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Bamber Bridge 1-3 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bamber Bridge vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bamber Bridge win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bamber Bridge 39%, draw 25%, Gainsborough Trinity 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bamber Bridge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bamber Bridge) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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