Morpeth Town 1-3 Rylands — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
39%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+6.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
48%
-8.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rylands EU Bookmakers 52%
+15% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.53/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.29
+6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Rylands
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Rylands Rylands 2-0 HT 0-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
22.04.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 3-3 HT 0-3 Rylands Rylands İNGNLP
19.11.2022 Rylands Rylands 2-0 HT 2-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Rylands
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rylands saw off Morpeth Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Rylands made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rylands led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Morpeth Town and 2.33 for Rylands.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Rylands?

Morpeth Town 1-3 Rylands in the England - Non League Premier on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Rylands?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rylands win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 36%, draw 25%, Rylands 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rylands), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rylands) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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