Sporting Gijon 2-3 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.07
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
18%
4.76
X/2
13%
6.59
X/X
10%
4.3
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
11%
4.85
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.4
Value flag · 2/X at 13.4 — our 11% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.29/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.16
+2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
21.7 Crosses 15.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.74 xG 1.35
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
333 Passes 240
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 3-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
14.01.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
11.09.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-2 HT 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
16.02.2020 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
22.09.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
09.08.2017 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
2-3
AWAY Racing Santander
1.36 xG 1.44
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
347 Passes 310
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 16
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander squeezed past Sporting Gijon 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Racing Santander made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 52% of the ball to Racing Santander's 48%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.36 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Santander led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting Gijon and 1.50 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Racing Santander?

Sporting Gijon 2-3 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 40%, draw 30%, Racing Santander 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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