Ceuta 3-2 Algeciras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 30 Mar 2024

Ceuta
3-2 HT 2-0
Algeciras
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2023/2024

Ceuta vs Algeciras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceuta v Algeciras — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Algeciras EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.38/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.07
-15% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.3

Ceuta vs Algeciras Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Algeciras
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
12.02.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 1-2 HT 1-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
02.10.2022 Ceuta Ceuta 1-3 HT 1-2 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Algeciras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta nicked a narrow win over Algeciras 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ceuta as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Algeciras led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ceuta and 1.67 for Algeciras.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Algeciras?

Ceuta 3-2 Algeciras in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Algeciras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 51%, draw 25%, Algeciras 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceuta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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