Fuenlabrada 1-2 Sabadell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.03
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabadell EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.26/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.83
-14% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 5.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuenlabrada
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Sabadell
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 0.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
223 Passes 212
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Sabadell Sabadell 0-1 HT 0-0 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada İS3
16.04.2021 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada 2-2 HT 0-1 Sabadell Sabadell İS2
28.11.2020 Sabadell Sabadell 1-2 HT 1-1 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fuenlabrada
1-2
AWAY Sabadell
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fuenlabrada vs Sabadell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabadell edged past Fuenlabrada 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fuenlabrada at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fuenlabrada had 55% of the ball to Sabadell's 45%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fuenlabrada had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fuenlabrada and 1.00 for Sabadell.

What was the final score of Fuenlabrada vs Sabadell?

Fuenlabrada 1-2 Sabadell in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuenlabrada vs Sabadell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuenlabrada win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fuenlabrada 41%, draw 27%, Sabadell 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fuenlabrada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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