Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 Valencia (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.28
Draw
33%
5.15
Away
33%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
74%
-40.6pp
33%
Draw
16%
+16.8pp
33%
Away Win
10%
+23.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.23/0.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.39
-64% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.0 Crosses 13.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Valencia (K)
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.54 xG 0.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
26 Total Shots 8
14 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
346 Passes 310
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
38 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.01.2024 Valencia (K) Valencia (K) 1-6 HT 1-4 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
1-0
AWAY Valencia (K)
1.11 xG 0.96
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 6
268 Passes 236
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid (K) vs Valencia (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) edged past Valencia (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Atletico Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 52% of the ball to Valencia (K)'s 48%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.11 to 0.96.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Valencia (K)?

Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 Valencia (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Valencia (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Valencia (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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