Colorado Rapids 3-2 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.8
6+ Goals
11%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 32% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.87
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
11%
5.51
X/2
8%
5.28
X/X
11%
4.49
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
21%
3.64
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.54/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.46
+1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 82%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.4 Crosses 14.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.59 xG 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
285 Passes 366
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
02.04.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
14.05.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-0 HT 2-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
26.02.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
08.11.2021 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 5-2 HT 2-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
23.05.2021 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
3-2
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.59 xG 1.09
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
369 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 22
29 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids edged past Los Angeles FC 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Colorado Rapids made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 57% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 43%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.59 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Colorado Rapids and 1.83 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles FC?

Colorado Rapids 3-2 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 35%, draw 26%, Los Angeles FC 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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