Philadelphia Union 2-0 Minnesota United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Mar 2024

Philadelphia Union
2-0 HT 1-0
Minnesota United
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Philadelphia Union vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.6
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.07
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.05
X/1
16%
4.05
X/2
11%
9.86
X/X
12%
6.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
20.45
2/2
8%
6.96
2/X
8%
15.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.45 — our 13% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Philadelphia Union v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.96/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.68
+18% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.4 Crosses 14.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Philadelphia Union vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Minnesota United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.83 xG 1.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
368 Passes 345
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.05.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-3 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABDK
26.02.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-1 HT 1-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
21.10.2021 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-2 HT 1-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
02.06.2019 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-3 HT 1-2 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
07.10.2018 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 5-1 HT 4-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
10.09.2017 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 1-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD

Philadelphia Union 2-0 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
2-0
AWAY Minnesota United
2.28 xG 0.57
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
255 Passes 342
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Minnesota United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union saw off Minnesota United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 45% of the ball to Minnesota United's 55%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.28 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.83 for Minnesota United.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Minnesota United?

Philadelphia Union 2-0 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Minnesota United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 49%, draw 25%, Minnesota United 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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