Augsburg II 2-2 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
35%
+7.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-7.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 43%
+19% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
2.38/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.75
+62% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
259 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsburg II
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Illertissen
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
57% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 3-1 HT 2-1 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
25.02.2023 Augsburg II Augsburg II 1-2 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
12.08.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 1-5 HT 1-3 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
23.04.2022 Augsburg II Augsburg II 4-0 HT 1-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
24.09.2021 Illertissen Illertissen 4-0 HT 2-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
16.11.2019 Illertissen Illertissen 1-3 HT 1-1 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Augsburg II vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg II and Illertissen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Augsburg II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Augsburg II and 1.83 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Augsburg II vs Illertissen?

Augsburg II 2-2 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg II vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Augsburg II 42%, draw 26%, Illertissen 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Augsburg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Augsburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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